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The memecoin casino is booming, but traders are voicing increasing frustration over the ultra-slim odds of actually striking it rich. According to one analysis, successfully investing in a winning memecoin on Pump.fun, a popular token launch platform, is statistically less likely than placing a victorious roulette bet.
“It’s like the worst casino on Earth,” said veteran memecoin trader Adam Smith. “You’ve basically got a 0.12% chance of backing a successful new token launch from creation to profitable graduation – it’s a slaughterhouse.”
Smith explains that buying $100 worth of tokens at launch and cashing out at the $69,000 “graduation” threshold nets about $1,380. Compared to a $100 single number roulette bet that pays $3,600 at 37-1 odds, Pump.fun’s 833-1 odds look rather ungenerous.
And yet, the memecoin casino rolls on. Pump.fun founder Sapijiju recently removed token creation fees, sparking a spike in new coins, most never reaching profitability. “The more coins launched, the more likely a winner emerges,” he argued.
But traders aren’t convinced. “I’m boycotting. Done with Pump.fun enabling million dollar scams,” said one dissenter. Influencer Beanie agreed: “Pump.fun wins while traders lose. We need a fairer system.”
For now, the memecoin game goes on, but confidence appears to be wavering. Perhaps luck has finally met her match in DeFi’s chaotic new frontier.